Monetary policy – NBR Board decisions

According to the press release of National Bank of Romania dated July 4th, the Board of the National Bank of Romania decided: to keep the monetary policy rate at 2.50 percent per annum; to leave unchanged the deposit facility rate at 1.50 percent per annum and the lending facility rate at 3.50 percent per annum; and to maintain the existing levels of minimum reserve requirement ratios on both leu- and foreign currency-denominated liabilities of credit institutions.

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NBR – decisions on monetary policy

As shown in the press release following the meeting of 2 April 2019 of the National Bank of Romania Board, the following was decided: to keep the monetary policy rate at 2.50 percent per annum; to leave unchanged the deposit facility rate at 1.50 percent per annum and the lending facility rate at 3.50 percent per annum; and to maintain the existing levels of minimum reserve requirement ratios on both leu- and foreign currency-denominated liabilities of credit institutions.

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December Financial Stability Report

Financial stability has remained robust since the release of the previous Report (June 2018), and the main vulnerabilities have continued to be those stemming from external sources. The National Bank of Romania has further pursued a counter-cyclical policy conduct within its scope of activity, yet a balanced economic policy mix is called for in order to adequately manage the vulnerabilities with systemic potential and achieve sustainable economic growth according to the latest Financial Stability Report for December published by the National Bank of Romania on 10th of December 2018.

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November 2018 – Inflation Report

The National Bank of Romania published on 8th of November the Inflation Report, the report indicated that after having reached a 5-year high in 2018 Q2, the annual inflation rate saw, as expected, a halt in its upward trend, falling to 5 percent in September, i.e. 0.15 percentage points above the benchmark forecast in the August 2018 Inflation Report and 1.5 percentage points above the upper bound of the ±1 percentage point variation band of the 2.5 percent flat target.

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NBR: monetary policy

The annual inflation rate advanced to a slightly higher-than-projected 0.64 percent in May 2017, after resuming in April the growth that had been discontinued in March 2017 (0.61 percent, against 0.18 percent). Behind this stood chiefly the step-up in core inflation and the slower negative growth of administered prices, as well as the rise in volatile food prices. The effects of these determinants were partially offset by the impact of slower annual fuel price dynamics, amid a renewed decline in the global oil price.

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European Commission: May Economic Forecast for Romania

Real GDP growth is projected to remain strong, on the back of fiscal easing and wage increases. Unemployment fell significantly in 2016 and is expected to remain at a low level in 2017 and 2018. With a positive output gap, inflation is set to pick up. The budget deficit is projected to continue increasing due to tax cuts and higher public spending. The draft unified wage law poses a significant downward risk to the fiscal forecast.

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