Developments in inflation

The National Bank of Romania has published the Inflation Report for November 2019. As shown in the report, the annual CPI inflation rate returned to the upper bound of the variation band of the flat target of 2.5 percent ± 1 percentage point, ending 2019 Q3 at 3.49 percent (0.35 percentage points below the June level and 0.2 percentage points below the latest forecast). Behind the disinflationary trend stood mainly the declines in vegetable prices amid a good harvest across the EU. Opposite influences stemmed from tobacco product prices and the slightly faster growth of the adjusted CORE2 inflation rate, indicating the persistence of inflationary pressures from fundamentals.

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