Developments in inflation

The National Bank of Romania has published the Inflation Report for November 2019. As shown in the report, the annual CPI inflation rate returned to the upper bound of the variation band of the flat target of 2.5 percent ± 1 percentage point, ending 2019 Q3 at 3.49 percent (0.35 percentage points below the June level and 0.2 percentage points below the latest forecast). Behind the disinflationary trend stood mainly the declines in vegetable prices amid a good harvest across the EU. Opposite influences stemmed from tobacco product prices and the slightly faster growth of the adjusted CORE2 inflation rate, indicating the persistence of inflationary pressures from fundamentals.

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November 2018 – Inflation Report

The National Bank of Romania published on 8th of November the Inflation Report, the report indicated that after having reached a 5-year high in 2018 Q2, the annual inflation rate saw, as expected, a halt in its upward trend, falling to 5 percent in September, i.e. 0.15 percentage points above the benchmark forecast in the August 2018 Inflation Report and 1.5 percentage points above the upper bound of the ±1 percentage point variation band of the 2.5 percent flat target.

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